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AFX20D-TCSO1

Department of Defense · 340 awards from 2021 to 2025 · 199 distinct firms

Awards in this topic include: “Extremely Lightweight and Ultra-Low Noise Isolated DC-DC Converters” · “Deployable Containerized LH2 Refueling System” · “Continuous Fiber Additive Manufacturing for Rapid Prototyping and Demonstration of Small U”

What awards in this topic are actually worth

Median Phase I award $149,941

Middle half of awards fell between $149,699 and $149,993 (233 Phase I awards).

Median Phase II award $749,961

Middle half fell between $749,816 and $749,999 (107 Phase II awards). The largest was $32,076,934 — the upper tail here includes multi-year instruments such as STRATFI and Sequential Phase II, which run to eight figures and are not comparable to a standard Phase II.

Award values are as reported by the agency to sbir.gov. For contract awards that is the value of the award, which for multi-year instruments covers several years rather than a single year's funding.

Who wins here

Distinct firms that have won 199

Across 340 awards.

Share held by the top 3 firms 4.7%

The single biggest winner, CORNERSTONE RESEARCH GROUP INC, holds 2.1% (7 of 340). That is a wide-open topic — no firm has a lock on it.

First-time winners at Department of Defense 71

of 199 firms had no prior Department of Defense award before winning here (128 were returning winners). This is the closest honest answer to “can a newcomer win in this topic”.

Phase I → Phase II conversion (inferred)

44.6% of the 233 Phase I awards in this topic have a Phase II we could link to them (104 of 233).

This is our estimate, not an official figure. No agency publishes an award ID linking a Phase II back to its Phase I, so we match on firm, agency and topic code. It is also not your odds of winning — it is the share of Phase I winners who went on to a Phase II. How this is computed, and what it can't tell you.

Most awards in this topic

FirmAwardsShare
CORNERSTONE RESEARCH GROUP INC7 2.1%
PIASECKI AIRCRAFT CORP5 1.5%
ARCHER AVIATION INC4 1.2%
SCIENTIFIC SYSTEMS COMPANY, INC.4 1.2%
WHISPER AERO INC4 1.2%

Firms are counted by federal UEI where available. sbir.gov has backfilled UEIs to 99.5% coverage for 2025 awards; a company that re-registered may appear more than once in older years, which would understate concentration slightly.

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Sources and caveats (the honest part)

Sourced vs computed: Phase I/II selection rates (applications → awards) come from the SBA's SBIR/STTR Annual Report — FY2022 is the latest published edition, and SBA itself calls the rates estimates because proposal cohorts span fiscal years. Phase I→II conversion and first-timer shares are computed by us from sbir.gov's public award records. Linked by firm + agency + topic code where topic codes carry (suffix-tolerant for DOE's phase renumbering), with a title-similarity fallback elsewhere. 70% of links match on topic, 30% on title; each pair's match_tier is in the downloadable CSV, so you can recompute under stricter rules. Firms are identified by federal UEI where available (99.5% of 2025 awards, down to 54% for 2001), with a normalized-name fallback for older records.

Fast-track and Direct-to-Phase-II: no agency publishes a fast-track flag, so we derive it — HHS/NIH: a Phase I record carrying a Phase II activity code (R44/R42/U44) plus its linked Phase II; NSF: the 2024 Fast-Track pilot solicitation (NSF 24-582). Where fast-track exists, conversion is shown both organic (fast-tracks excluded) and all-inclusive, because a fast-track Phase II was committed at award time, not competed. DoD's Direct-to-Phase-II share is different in kind: there is no marker at all, so our number is an inference (Phase IIs with no same-firm DoD Phase I in the prior 3 years), always labeled an estimate and kept visually separate from measured stats.

What nobody publishes: per-topic application counts are published by no one — not the agencies, and not the $500–$42,000-a-year intelligence platforms either; the data simply isn't public. Any per-topic number on this site is award-side only (who won, how often winners repeat), never your odds of selection.

Sources: sbir.gov award data · SBA FY22 Annual Report. Free to use; verify anything critical against the originals.