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Department of Defense — SBIR/STTR competition data

Data through FY2025

Phase I selection rate (real applications data) 18.2%

6,444 proposals → 1,172 awards. SBA SBIR/STTR Annual Report FY2022 (latest published edition; SBA lags ~2 years).

Phase II selection rate 28.1%

4,751 proposals → 1,334 awards (same source).

Phase I→II conversion (computed) 46%

2022 Phase I cohort: 796 of 1,722 won a linked Phase II within 3 years.

Who wins (FY2025) 59% to firms with 5+ prior awards

17% to first-time winners · n=2,944 awards.

Awards and typical amounts

FYAwardsPhase IPhase IIMedian Phase IMedian Phase II
20213,483 2,2091,274 $139k$1,000k
20223,340 1,7221,618 $150k$1.1M
20233,177 1,7691,408 $140k$1.2M
20243,441 1,8901,551 $146k$1.3M
20252,944 1,4701,474 $146k$1.4M

Phase I→II conversion by cohort

Phase I cohortPhase I awardsLinked Phase IIConversion
2026111 0 0% provisional — cohort still inside the 3-year window
20251,470 74 5% provisional — cohort still inside the 3-year window
20241,890 558 30% provisional — cohort still inside the 3-year window
20231,769 756 43% provisional — cohort still inside the 3-year window
20221,722 796 46%
20212,209 978 44%
20202,417 888 37%
20192,217 1,011 46%

Selection rates by component (SBA FY2022)

ComponentPhase I proposalsAwardsRatePhase II rate
Air Force2,477 40916.5% 22.8%
Navy1,609 30619.0%
Other components (DARPA, MDA, DHA, SOCOM…)1,366 37027.1% 37.0%
Army992 878.8% 15.5%

Computed conversion by DoD component

ComponentCohortPhase IConversion
Air Force2022 69742%
Navy2022 38246%
Army2022 20048%
Missile Defense Agency2022 14243%
Defense Logistics Agency2022 6761%
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency2022 5155%
Defense Health Agency2022 4562%
Special Operations Command2022 3850%
Air Force2021 1,13746%
Navy2021 49340%
Army2021 24236%
Missile Defense Agency2021 6356%

First-timers vs incumbents (Phase I only)

FYPhase I awardsFirst-time winners1–4 prior5+ prior
2026111 20% 17% 63%
20251,470 23% 21% 56%
20241,890 26% 21% 53%
20231,769 25% 24% 52%
20221,722 21% 23% 57%

Most-awarded firms (last 5 FYs)

CompanyAwardsTotal obligations
PHYSICAL SCIENCES INC.299$203.9M
TRITON SYSTEMS, INC.246$143.8M
INTELLISENSE SYSTEMS INC171$100M
TOYON RESEARCH CORPORATION124$88.5M
CFD Research Corporation116$71.4M
CHARLES RIVER ANALYTICS, INC.115$83.3M
SPECTRAL ENERGIES LLC108$60.9M
LYNNTECH INC.104$59.5M
TDA RESEARCH, INC.103$60.3M
CORVID TECHNOLOGIES, LLC101$78.3M

Search Department of Defense awards by topic code →

How to read these numbers (the honest part)

Sourced vs computed: Phase I/II selection rates (applications → awards) come from the SBA's SBIR/STTR Annual Report — FY2022 is the latest published edition, and SBA itself calls the rates estimates because proposal cohorts span fiscal years. Phase I→II conversion and first-timer shares are computed by us from sbir.gov's public award records. Linked by firm + agency + topic (suffix-tolerant for DOE's phase renumbering) with a title-similarity fallback for NSF; ~90% of links match on topic, ~5% ambiguity.

What nobody publishes: per-topic application counts are published by no one — not the agencies, and not the $500–$42,000-a-year intelligence platforms either; the data simply isn't public. Any per-topic number on this site is award-side only (who won, how often winners repeat), never your odds of selection.

Sources: sbir.gov award data · SBA FY22 Annual Report. Free to use; verify anything critical against the originals.