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NSF — SBIR/STTR competition data

Data through FY2025

Phase I selection rate (real applications data) 10.8%

2,259 proposals → 245 awards. SBA SBIR/STTR Annual Report FY2022 (latest published edition; SBA lags ~2 years).

Phase II selection rate 48.9%

233 proposals → 114 awards (same source).

Phase I→II conversion (computed) 31%

2022 Phase I cohort: 101 of 324 won a linked Phase II within 3 years.

Who wins (FY2025) 0% to firms with 5+ prior awards

65% to first-time winners · n=331 awards.

Awards and typical amounts

FYAwardsPhase IPhase IIMedian Phase IMedian Phase II
2021496 390106 $256k$1,000k
2022445 324121 $256k$999k
2023419 278141 $275k$1,000k
2024419 303116 $275k$1,000k
2025331 207124 $305k$1.2M

Phase I→II conversion by cohort

Phase I cohortPhase I awardsLinked Phase IIConversion
2025207 12 6% provisional — cohort still inside the 3-year window
2024303 20 7% provisional — cohort still inside the 3-year window
2023278 57 20% provisional — cohort still inside the 3-year window
2022324 101 31%
2021390 102 26%
2020388 129 33%
2019361 167 46%
2018292 124 42%

First-timers vs incumbents (Phase I only)

FYPhase I awardsFirst-time winners1–4 prior5+ prior
2025207 97% 3% 0%
2024303 96% 4% 0%
2023278 97% 3% 0%
2022324 96% 4% 0%
2021390 92% 8% 0%

Most-awarded firms (last 5 FYs)

CompanyAwardsTotal obligations
SOSTOS LLC3$1.8M
EARTHSHOT LABS PBC3$1.4M
ASTEK DIAGNOSTICS INC.3$1.5M
Xheme Inc.3$1.7M
SOCTERA, INC.2$1.3M
GRAVEL CAPITAL LLC2$1.3M
RATTAN LIFE SCIENCE INC2$1.5M
WUI-GO, LLC2$1.5M
INAEDIS, INC2$1.5M
IIAM CORPORATION2$1.5M

Search NSF awards by topic code →

How to read these numbers (the honest part)

Sourced vs computed: Phase I/II selection rates (applications → awards) come from the SBA's SBIR/STTR Annual Report — FY2022 is the latest published edition, and SBA itself calls the rates estimates because proposal cohorts span fiscal years. Phase I→II conversion and first-timer shares are computed by us from sbir.gov's public award records. Linked by firm + agency + topic (suffix-tolerant for DOE's phase renumbering) with a title-similarity fallback for NSF; ~90% of links match on topic, ~5% ambiguity.

What nobody publishes: per-topic application counts are published by no one — not the agencies, and not the $500–$42,000-a-year intelligence platforms either; the data simply isn't public. Any per-topic number on this site is award-side only (who won, how often winners repeat), never your odds of selection.

Sources: sbir.gov award data · SBA FY22 Annual Report. Free to use; verify anything critical against the originals.